Center for Macroeconomic Research of XMU released a research report in Australia on September 2nd: during the next one year and a half, China's economic growth would continue showing the downward trend and the actual economic growth rate in 2016 is expected to be 6.63%. In 2017, due to everlasting weakness in external demand and investment, China's economic would continue showing downward trend, but the risk of deflation is relatively small.

This report is released on China's Macroeconomic High-level Seminar, which is also the China's Quarterly Macroeconomic Model(CQMM) Forecast Conference in fall of 2016, jointly organized by Xiamen University, Economic Information Daily of Xin Hua Agency and Australian National University. The main content is about the forecast of main index and related policy simulation results.

Source:School of Economics